How Markets Work
What The Widowmaker Can Teach Us About Trade Prospecting And Fool’s Gold
How an option market decomposes probability from expectancy
Risk and Edge
Options and Volatility
A Cleaner Dashboard: Z-Scores Instead Of Price Changes
Use volatility-aware price changes for more context in your dashboards
Risk and Edge
Talking To The Diamond Hands
Understanding the psychology of concentrated risk-taking
How Markets Work
Shorting In The Time Of ShitCos
A qualitative appreciation for the asymmetry of shorting
How Markets Work
Understanding Edge
The foundation of all trading
Options Theory
On Delta Hedging
The broad trade-offs when trying to isolate volatility bets
Risk and Edge
Measurement Not Prediction
Seeing the present clearly
Risk and Edge
The ‘Volatility Is A Risk’ Strawman
Risk is more than a single measure
Risk and Edge
How Much Extra Return Should You Demand For Illiquidity?
A market-based thought exercise for pricing the value of liquidity
Risk and Edge
Path: How Compounding Alters Return Distributions
See how the path of returns can alter the distribution of p/l independently of expectancy.
Risk and Edge
Lessons From The Layup – Corner 3 Spread
Practice relative value thinking
Options Theory
Mock Trading Options With Market Makers
How professional option traders trained
Risk and Edge
Fun Analogy Between Combinations and a Correlation Matrix
Math fun relating ideas
Risk and Edge
Where Does Convexity Come From?
Convexity is a fancy word for "my position size is not constant"
How Markets Work
Why You Don’t Get Paid For Diversifiable Risks
Examples of a counterintuitive aspect of portfolio theory
Risk and Edge
How Tails Constrain Investment Allocations
How low probability-events restrict advisable position sizes